- -1 °C100 percent cloud cover
- -2 °C100 percent cloud cover
- -3 °C100 percent cloud cover
Northern Lights Forecast for Churchill
Churchill, Manitoba, Canada
58°46′6.2″N ⋅ 94°9′54.0″W
Aurora data last updated at
Current local time:
Can you see the Northern Lights in Churchill tonight?
Aurora activity is expected to be low between 3 PM and 11 AM in Churchill tonight. Sky will be dark from 7:04 PM to 6:56 AM local time. Cloud cover around that time looks overcast at 90% to 100%. Low activity and cloud cover together may make the aurora difficult to spot.
Can you see the Northern Lights in Churchill tonight?
Aurora activity is expected to be low between 3 PM and 11 AM in Churchill tonight. Sky will be dark from 7:04 PM to 6:56 AM local time. Cloud cover around that time looks overcast at 90% to 100%. Low activity and cloud cover together may make the aurora difficult to spot.
Aurora Forecast for Churchill
Hourly aurora forecast for Churchill
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3-Night Weather Forecast for Churchill
- -6 °C100 percent cloud cover
- -6 °C74 percent cloud cover
- -7 °C2 percent cloud cover
- -0 °C87 percent cloud cover
- -1 °C75 percent cloud cover
- -1 °C18 percent cloud cover
Sun & Moon
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Long-Term Aurora Forecast for Churchill
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wednesday, October 28, 2026. Today. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Waning gibbous, 92% illumination | Thursday, October 29, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Waning gibbous, 85% illumination | Friday, October 30, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Waning gibbous, 76% illumination | Saturday, October 31, 2026. High aurora activity. Aurora score 7 out of 10. Last quarter, 65% illumination | Sunday, November 1, 2026. High aurora activity. Aurora score 7 out of 10. Last quarter, 54% illumination | ||
Monday, November 2, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 5 out of 10. Last quarter, 43% illumination | Tuesday, November 3, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Last quarter, 32% illumination | Wednesday, November 4, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Waning crescent, 23% illumination | Thursday, November 5, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 5 out of 10. Waning crescent, 14% illumination | Friday, November 6, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 5 out of 10. Waning crescent, 8% illumination | Saturday, November 7, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 5 out of 10. New moon, 3% illumination | Sunday, November 8, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. New moon, 1% illumination |
Monday, November 9, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 6 out of 10. New moon, 0% illumination | Tuesday, November 10, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 5 out of 10. New moon, 2% illumination | Wednesday, November 11, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 5 out of 10. Waxing crescent, 5% illumination | Thursday, November 12, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 5 out of 10. Waxing crescent, 10% illumination | Friday, November 13, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Waxing crescent, 16% illumination | Saturday, November 14, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Waxing crescent, 23% illumination | Sunday, November 15, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. First quarter, 32% illumination |
Monday, November 16, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 5 out of 10. First quarter, 41% illumination | Tuesday, November 17, 2026. High aurora activity. Aurora score 7 out of 10. First quarter, 50% illumination | Wednesday, November 18, 2026. High aurora activity. Aurora score 7 out of 10. First quarter, 60% illumination | Thursday, November 19, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 5 out of 10. Waxing gibbous, 70% illumination | Friday, November 20, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Waxing gibbous, 79% illumination | Saturday, November 21, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Waxing gibbous, 87% illumination | Sunday, November 22, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Waxing gibbous, 94% illumination |
Monday, November 23, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Full moon, 98% illumination | Tuesday, November 24, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Full moon, 100% illumination |
Best Time to See the Northern Lights in Churchill
The aurora season in Churchill runs from late July to mid-May, when the nights get dark. Your best chances are from September to November, and again from January to March, when the aurora shows on most clear nights.
- Dark hours
- Chance of aurora
Long-term averages for clear nights, since 1985. Geomagnetic data: GFZ, CC BY 4.0
Every night of 2026 in Churchill, January at the top: how long it's dark, and the chance of aurora on a clear night.
Northern Lights in Churchill
Churchill is a town of about 870 people on the west shore of Hudson Bay, at the mouth of the Churchill River in northern Manitoba. No road reaches it. It sits at only 58.8°N, but the geomagnetic pole lies over Ellesmere Island in Canada’s Arctic, so Churchill is much closer to it than its latitude suggests and gets aurora on quiet nights.
Belugas, then bears, then the aurora
Churchill has three visitor seasons. Thousands of beluga whales come into the river estuary in July and August. Polar bears gather on the coast in October and November, waiting for the bay to freeze. The aurora season is February and March, when the operators run their aurora programmes and the sky is at its clearest: the town averages 118 hours of sunshine in February and 178 in March, against 80 in January.
February averages −24 °C and March −18.6 °C. Hudson Bay is frozen by then, so from the shore the view north is a flat white plain.
The Northern Studies Centre on the old rocket range
The Churchill Northern Studies Centre is about 23 km east of town on the site of the old Churchill Rocket Research Range, inside the Churchill Wildlife Management Area. It has guest rooms and an indoor aurora dome, and runs its Winter Skies programme in February and March. The rest of the watching is done from heated tundra vehicles parked at the edge of the frozen river, or from the operators’ viewing domes.
Polar Bear Alert and walking after dark
Walking out to a dark spot is another matter. Parks Canada’s advice for Churchill is never to walk in dimly lit areas, to take a taxi after 10 p.m. in autumn if your group is three or fewer, and not to walk or cycle out of town in September, October or November. The same advice says not to lock your vehicle, because you may need to get back in quickly. Bears that come into town are hazed out by Polar Bear Alert staff, and repeat visitors go to the Polar Bear Holding Facility until the ice has formed and they can be released onto the bay. By the aurora months the bears are out on the ice, and December to July is the period of lowest risk.
Two nights on the train from Winnipeg
VIA Rail’s train from Winnipeg covers 1,710 km in about 45 hours. You can also drive to Thompson and board there. Calm Air flies from Winnipeg year round, about two hours in the air.
Itsanitaq Museum and Prince of Wales Fort
The Itsanitaq Museum, founded in 1944 as the Eskimo Museum, holds about 1,300 Inuit carvings, tools and boats. Prince of Wales Fort, the stone fort across the river mouth that surrendered to the French in 1782 without a shot, is reached by boat and closed outside the summer.
FAQ
Why does Churchill get the northern lights at such a low latitude?
Because the aurora forms in a ring around the geomagnetic pole, not the geographic one, and that pole sits over Ellesmere Island in Canada's Arctic. Churchill, at 58.8°N, lies under the ring, so it sees aurora on quiet nights despite its modest latitude. The clearest skies are in February and March, when the town averages 118 and 178 hours of sunshine.
Is it safe to go out at night in Churchill to watch the northern lights?
In February and March, the aurora months, the polar bears are out on the sea ice and Parks Canada rates December to July as the lowest-risk period, so the operators take people out onto the tundra and the frozen river. In autumn it is different: never walk in dimly lit areas, take a taxi after 10 p.m. if your group is three or fewer, do not walk or cycle out of town in September, October or November, and do not lock your vehicle, in case you need to get back in quickly.
What is the Churchill Northern Studies Centre and can you stay there?
It is a non-profit research station about 23 km east of Churchill, on the old Churchill Rocket Research Range inside the Churchill Wildlife Management Area. It has guest rooms, an indoor aurora dome and an outdoor viewing platform, and it runs a six-day Winter Skies programme in February and March for visitors who want to watch the lights from a dark site with researchers on hand.
How do you get to Churchill for the northern lights?
There is no road. VIA Rail's train from Winnipeg takes about 45 hours, two nights on board, with sleeper and economy cars; you can shorten it by driving to Thompson and boarding there. Calm Air flies from Winnipeg year round in about two hours.
When is the best time to see the northern lights in Churchill?
The aurora season in Churchill runs from late July to mid-May, when the nights get dark. Your best chances are from September to November, and again from January to March, when the aurora shows on most clear nights. The longest nights, around 21 December, have about 14 hours of darkness.
Can you see the northern lights in Churchill in summer?
Only a bright one. After mid-May the sky doesn't get fully dark again until late July. The nights still reach twilight, so a strong aurora can show around midnight.
What Kp index do I need to see the northern lights in Churchill?
In Churchill, even quiet geomagnetic conditions can be enough for aurora overhead.
This is based on magnetic latitude, and Kp index is a global geomagnetic index, so treat it as a rule of thumb, not a location-specific guarantee.
Tonight, the NOAA Kp index forecast is 1.3 to 1.7. That is above the usual Kp index threshold for Churchill, so you have a chance of seeing the aurora if the sky is clear.